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Breaking News: Anderson News’ Answer to Avoid a Circulation Meltdown

January 27, 2009

In the ever going attempt to keep the single copy sales mechanism afloat, Anderson News announced two weeks ago their intend to charge magazine publishers 7 cents for every magazine distributed. I have been watching the debate between magazine publishers and their distributors for years now, and I find it amazing that after years of silence on behalf of the distributors the mode have changed. Distributors are now breaking that code of silence that engulfed the industry for years and starting to communicate with the media.

What follows is the introduction from an e mail that Anderson News sent earlier today:

US Magazine Industry Risks Circulation Meltdown
Clearing up 10 misconceptions about the Anderson plan could avert severe disruption

To continue distribution of magazine copies after February 1, 2009, Anderson News has
announced that it requires $.07/copy in excess of its current discount and reimbursement of its
scanned based trading (SBT) customer inventory costs…


The ten misconceptions that Anderson’s press release discusses are:

1. Anderson’s proposal will cost publishers over $1 billion.
2. Anderson wants to exit the business.
3. Publishers can use the US Postal service to deliver and sell magazines to retailers.
4. Anderson should get its fees by lowering retail discounts.
5. Retail discounts are too high and should be reduced.
6. National distributions have a solution to the wholesalers’ financial challenges.
7. Anderson’s exit will serve the best interests of publishers and retailers alike.
8. Anderson is more expensive than the non-service or “direct” wholesale model.
9. Anderson’s competitors can absorb its business.
10. Anderson has made proposals like this in the past and is bluffing today.

Anderson News had one answer to all of the above so-called misconceptions. False.

For those of you who are interested in the details of this matter, here is the entire release from Anderson News: (Be warned, it is lengthy…)

US Magazine Industry Risks Circulation Meltdown
Clearing up 10 misconceptions about the Anderson plan could avert severe disruption

To continue distribution of magazine copies after February 1, 2009, Anderson News has
announced that it requires $.07/copy in excess of its current discount and reimbursement of its
scanned based trading (SBT) customer inventory costs.
Anderson’s proposal may be viewed as a temporary or “stop gap” measure designed to create
immediate stability, ensuring distribution of magazines to a competitive marketplace. Once
Anderson has eliminated its operating losses, it welcomes alternative longer-term compensation
strategies and solutions.
Since Anderson’s announcement there have been several articles written on the subject. Also,
Anderson News has had a number of conversations with its retail customers, national distributors
and publishers and found a number of misconceptions and misstatements about our proposal and
about our business in general. A discussion of ten of these misconceptions follows:

1. Anderson’s proposal will cost publishers over $1 billion. False. The application of $.07
per copy to the 2.184 billion annual copies distributed through full service wholesalers results in
an aggregate gross cost to all publishers of $152 million, not $1 billion. Over the past ten years
wholesaler gross profits have not kept pace with inflation as measured by the CPI. The $.07 fee
will quickly restore stability to our business by eliminating our operating losses. The fee will
also act as an incentive to eliminate waste represented by print order copies that exceed retail
display capacities. Obviously, copies that will not fit on retail display fixtures have no hope of
sale. Eliminating this waste would reduce print orders, saving publishers print, paper and
distribution costs. Indeed if selling efficiency of single copy magazines increased from the
current 35% to 41%, the aggregate publisher PP&D cost savings exceeds the proposed fees.

2. Anderson wants to exit the business. False. Anderson wants a viable, profitable business. It
is no longer willing to absorb losses. Anderson News’ magazine sales in 2008 were about $760
million, and it reported a net loss of over $20 million. Its projections show that the $.07 fee
after allowance for reduced print runs will reverse the Anderson losses. Going forward,
Anderson projects that its net operating margin to be less than 2% of sales.

3. Publishers can use the US Postal service to deliver and sell magazines to retailers. False.
The postal service can make deliveries to storefronts, but store delivery is just a part of wholesale
services. Anderson aggregates and coordinates product, service and information for retailers
and publishers. Imagine the chaos of multiple deliveries to retailers. Anderson gets all
publications to storefronts in one delivery. Anderson creates weekly orders for each storefront
from its massive data files, delivers and checks-in each order (which is needed for payment and
to maintain retail “item” files that track retail transactions), and merchandises the copies by
placing new publications on display and by removing unsold copies for processing and
destruction. Anderson also monitors and updates retailer POS systems. The cost sharing
routines of Anderson are effective. For little more than half the cost of one $.42 first class
stamp, Anderson does much more than the post office. Anderson adds value to the single copy
channel. Publishers have sold direct to retailers, and the results were a disaster for the both the
retailer and publisher. Publications failed to get timely display and retail shortages,
discrepancies and payment problems were common.

4. Anderson should get its fees by lowering retail discounts. False. Anderson operates in a
highly competitive marketplace. If Anderson reduces its retailer discounts, it loses business.
Maintaining sales is important to the density and effectiveness of its delivery routes. Anderson
has met the higher discounts of its competition only when necessary to maintain its sales volume
and protect its route density. Anderson has lost business when the competitive bids were too
great.

5. Retail discounts are too high and should be reduced. False. The single copy magazine
category is mature and has experienced sales declines over the past decade. The category
competes at retail for display space with hundreds of other items. The magazine category is
being deemphasized by retailers as it fails to deliver sales growth. Many examples exist where
key retailers have reduced the category’s display space or moved displays outside of higher
traffic areas. If retail margins are reduced or costs otherwise increased for retailers, display space
for the magazine category will further decline.

6. National distributions have a solution to the wholesalers’ financial challenges. False. The
national distributors have known of the channel’s failed economic model for over a decade.
Rather than address the challenges through innovative change and leadership, national
distributors did little except protect their own financial interests by rewriting their client
agreements to pass financial risk and costs through to publishers. National distributors inhibited
Anderson’s efforts to hold substantive discussions with their client publishers and to institute
meaningful change. National distributors could have been working with their client publishers to
rationalize all discounts relative to their underlying distribution costs. They could have removed
the “free rider” title subsidies associated with certain large publication (most notably found with
certain lower cover price weekly publications). National distributors could have eliminated
discriminatory pricing practices of client publishers that have fueled retail demands by national
retail chains. Also, they could have limited print orders to balance production with retail display
capacities. National distributors are uniquely positioned to change the compensation strategies
of its clients’ distribution channel. The current compensation structure contains no cost based
fee element. (Incorporation of such fees results in strong incentives for efficient behavior and
discourages waste and inefficiency, eliminating substantial costs for all parties.) Anderson is
compensated purely based upon a percentage of sales. Given the mature nature of the industry,
this compensation model is broken. Intermediaries like wholesalers should be paid for the value
added activities they perform. The current compensation model simply has not kept up with the
increasing costs to pick, pack, deliver, merchandise, and return magazines. Rather than acting,
national distributors have waited until the need to act has become dire and the potential
consequences of inaction catastrophic. To date, national distributors’ have responded to
Anderson’s proposal with calls for “business as usual”, reflecting that that they are part of the
problem and not the solution.

7. Anderson’s exit will serve the best interests of publishers and retailers alike. False. When
Anderson announced its proposal, one national distributor executive reportedly commented that
another wholesaler would take Anderson business. Without meaningful change, why would
another wholesaler want more unprofitable business? The obvious answer is that profits can be
restored when competition in a market is eliminated. Reduced competition will hurt publishers
and retailers alike. When competition is eliminated without regulatory oversight all parties lose.
Competition is the driving force to innovation and efficiency. Without competition, retailers and
publishers risk their existing discounts and the category will lose its relevancy to retailers.
Display space will be lost to competing consumer products. Even though the category needs
competition, certain national distributors are recommending the implementation of distribution
plans to the marketplace that are premised on the elimination of “choice” and competition. Why
would publishers put so much at risk when acceptance of Anderson’s proposal entails a
manageable cost and flexibility for the future?

8. Anderson is more expensive than the non-service or “direct” wholesale model. False. The
“direct” wholesalers are paid “reship” or freight allowances, given RDA through a base discount,
and enjoy other favorable terms and conditions. For some publishers these allowances represent
more than Anderson’s $.07 fee proposal and are currently paid to competitors that typically do
not perform in-store service. Publishers pay more and get less when they sell copies to non-
service distributors. These practices are nonsensical and may violate fair trade laws and
regulations that prohibit discriminatory pricing. It is wrong to give better terms and conditions to
some wholesalers than others. Anderson’s in-store service model costs publishers less and
provides them greater value through its in-store merchandising services. Further, its proposed
fee narrows the existing compensation gap with competing “direct’ wholesalers.

9. Anderson’s competitors can absorb its business. False. Anderson’s key competitors have
acknowledged operating losses. One competitor, Source Interlink, is a public company. On
December 10, 2008 Source Interlink reported massive net losses for the nine months ended
October 31, and its balance sheet reflected liabilities that exceeded tangible assets by nearly $1.4
billion. To absorb Anderson’s business, competitors (including Source Interlink) will have to
purchase over $70 million of inventory that Anderson owns and that is located in the stores of
some of Anderson’s largest retail customers. Otherwise, retail sales will suffer if Anderson is
forced to reclaim its retail inventories for its secured lenders. Anderson’s competitors will incur
substantial costs to replicate Anderson’s distribution network that crosses the United States. The
requisite capital investment together with the expense to hire and adequately train several
thousand associates is prohibitive. The aggregate costs to Anderson’s exit are staggering. How
can Anderson’s competitors that have each acknowledged operating at a loss afford such costs?
They cannot. Further, how much will be lost in magazine sales during a chaotic transition?

10. Anderson has made proposals like this in the past and is bluffing today. False. Anderson
has proposed changes to address serious problems within the single copy distribution channel on
numerous occasions. Those efforts elicited such limited action and change by publishers and
national distributors that Anderson is forced to take urgent action on its own. Anderson’s
contingency plans include meeting with its retail customers to discuss how retailers might
directly buy certain nonparticipating titles. Anderson wants to stay in business with the same
publishers and retailers that it has served for decades.
Killing the messenger is not a solution. Creating stability is the prudent solution.

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